Herb Kay's S.O.S. System
  April 22, 2010
  "I'm Herb Kay and the most important thing to know about me is that I'm not going to lie to you or pull your chain. Ever. In my S.O.S. Guides, I give you, well, guidance, in a straight-talking and step-by-step way. The website offers the "advice side" of my system. Here, in my blog, I'm going to dig a little deeper and get a little grittier. That's the opinion side of my system. Will I say something that might shock you? Maybe. Will I ruffle some feathers? Perhaps. Will you close the page with some food for thought? Absolutely."

The Herb Kay Way is the straight forward, never-mince-words way. Check out Herb's latest blog on your money, your career, your debt, the economy and the world we live in.
 
When Downsizing is a Powerful Tool
Can We Address the Important Issues?
Just a Sentence or Two.....
A Dose of Reality
Getting Involved and Taking a Stand
Study Up on Your Loans
Drop Back Ten and Punt!
Who Can you Depend On?
Some Sobering News About the Economy
Grab a Beer and Take the Slide Home......
Another Loophole, Another Lesson
What is Your Core Conversation?
Loyalty and Leadership
The Argument for Being a Grownup
The 'Business' of Complaints
Electricity in the Air......
Taking a Hard Look at the Figures
A Public Life
My "Advice" to You
Perspective vs. History
Worried Sick!
It's About the Kids!
Gooooooooaaaallll?
Where Will the Money Come From?
Immigration Arguments: Debunked!
Blame Policy, Not Banks
Happy Birthday America!
Crony Capitalism
G8/20 and What That Means For You!
Our Economy and the Free Market
Building a Bubble?
"Fixing" Our Problems
The $20 Billion SNAFU
A Screaming Deal!
Action Breeds Success!
It's Going to Take Some Effort!
Getting Our Lives Back
For Better or Worse......... I Prefer Better
The Pressure to be President.......
This Great Nation......
Financial Reform - Ha...what a joke!
Municipal Bonds are a thing of the Past!
Feeling Good!
Moving Forward
The Signs Are All Around Us
It's a Grim Diagnosis
Oh, the Pressure.....
The Big Fat Greek Fallout
It's Getting Ugly......
Perfection is a Myth
Be Different
Moving on While Moving Ahead
An Immigration Abomination
I've Got a Question.......
Logic vs. The Logistics of Inflation
The Free Market - Greed at its Very Best
Informed on Inflation
Don't Fix What Isn't Broken
Harnessing Energy - The Herb Kay Way
Staying Ahead of the Curve
What Trade Deficit?
Greek to Me
There's a Bridge in Brooklyn......
Problems That Don't Exist
Don't Invest in Mediocrity
The Fed's Mutually Exclusive Roles
Deadly Serious
Election Year Scapegoats
"Willfully Insane"
Balancing your Beliefs - How Our Political Convictions Influence the Debate Over the Economy
Let's Reward the Renters
Don't Plug the Hole.......Replace the Bucket!
Europe's Safety Net
The Collapse of the System
Apple Makes a Lemon
Pot, Capitalism & The Free Market
Who is Your Banker?
Real Estate? Now is NOT the Time!
Grading on a Curve
When the Inflation Stars Align
When Foolishness Goes International....
The Recovery?
The Competitive Advantage of Reaganomics
What Wednesday Brings.....
Stopping The Addiction
Signing On The Dotted Line
Be Optimistic - Not Foolish
The Real Story
Selling Your House (and your credit) Short!
The Entitlement State
It's Anyone's Guess
Ask, And You Just Might Receive
Crazy Like A Fox!
It's Only Tuesday!
Spending Some Time - Cutting Spending
There's No Such Thing As Easy Money!
What Exactly is Responsible Borrowing?
Just Bite The Bullet
With Change Comes Turmoil
Q & A......The Herb Kay Way!
Wanna Bet? Gamble on Inflation!
A Lesson on Education
Two Different Beasts: Why Price Does Not Equal Wealth
For this Party - Three's a Crowd
Good Luck With All of That!
Dear Mr. Bank President:
It's Not That Simple
Raising the Stakes
State of The Union: The Herb Kay Way!
Capital Gains - Your Pains!
Cooking the Books
What's in a Name?
Questionable Choices: Healthcare Reform
And the Person of the Year Is......
A History Lesson
Goverment's Stimulus Fairytale
Let's Hope I'm Wrong
Fake Money = Real Problems
Collectors Lie
35 Million Americans Can't Be Wrong
Simple Truths, Simple Lies
Lending and The Federal Reserve: Why Making Banks Rich Again Will be Bad for the Economy
Are You Health Care Aware?
Have Good Credit? With New Legislation in the Works, the Question is, Who Cares?
Healthcare and the President
Tips for Choosing a Bank and the Right Bank Account
 
Logic vs. The Logistics of Inflation
 

It’s because of the belief that a little bit of inflation is a good thing, that we are in the trouble that we face today.  I have said this before, but let me explain.  I bring this up because the inflation numbers for last week came out higher than expected, albeit by just a little, but things are going to get worse as the Fed has announced that it would be worse to raise interest rates right now (which would to some extent slow inflation) and cause more slowing in the overall economy.  Here is why inflation, completely caused by printing too much paper money, distorts all of our decisions and therefore markets.  Inflation creates dual incentives both of which are bad over the long term.

First, since we know that money is going to be worth less, in other words the same amount of money later will buy less stuff; the incentive to buy now is strong.  So if we want a new car and next year's models are going to be more expensive, there is an incentive to buy now.  But since most of us can't pay cash for a new car, we borrow money, worsening our financial condition and taking away from savings.  This is as opposed to doing something logical, like saving up for the car, which is hard because if we do it safely, say in a bank where we earn about 1% right now, we are actually losing money after we deduct inflation and taxes.  So say inflation is about 3% (the "healthy" rate the Fed targets) if we are earning 1% and we subtract 3% we get -2%, so as we save we are actually losing ground - PLUS the car we are saving for rises in price of at least the rate of inflation or in this example, 3%.  So each year we save for the car we actually LOSE 5% in purchasing power for our desired new car!  And then if you deduct the taxes, well, it gets worse!  This is why there is no incentive to save.

But wait, as they say in the infomercial business, there's more!  Even if we are savers and decide to put money away we now know that we need to take risks to earn more than the inflation rate. So we buy things like stocks, bonds, mutual funds, real estate and other stuff, none of which most of us know diddly about.  The normal tendency is to follow the crowd and do what everyone else is, so we invest in the popular thing.  It is just the nature of human beings to go along with the crowd.  This is how bubbles form as when the herd charges toward one thing, recently real estate and now stocks, they drive the price up for a while as there are briefly more buyers than sellers caused by the stampede to buy the thing most of the group doesn't understand.  Let's face it, what most of us knew about real estate before the crash was that it always goes up... until it didn't!  So when reality catches up the bubble bursts and tons of people get creamed!

And now you know more than pretty much every politician and pundit on Wall Street, in Washington, or on TV about why the Fed is the root cause of inflation and every bubble we have to face.  It needs to go.  It is as simple as that.